Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.165441 0.189280 0.216224 0.249109 0.288398 0.334128 0.391814
2025-06-29 0.127957 0.158757 0.197316 0.249890 0.320901 0.415259 0.553211
2025-07-06 0.104224 0.136972 0.181112 0.246511 0.343712 0.487584 0.726291
2025-07-13 0.090691 0.124801 0.173617 0.251138 0.376254 0.580183 0.961018
2025-07-20 0.081074 0.115905 0.168325 0.256680 0.410052 0.683014 1.253518
2025-07-27 0.073556 0.108639 0.163779 0.261728 0.443298 0.793983 1.611326
2025-08-03 0.067868 0.103205 0.160966 0.268653 0.481018 0.924989 2.079889
2025-08-10 0.062385 0.097257 0.156212 0.270873 0.509829 1.047005 2.598473
2025-08-17 0.057540 0.091702 0.151223 0.271501 0.535264 1.170327 3.202817
2025-08-24 0.053080 0.086249 0.145597 0.269713 0.554832 1.286699 3.873501
2025-08-31 0.048936 0.080875 0.139380 0.265536 0.567789 1.390987 4.590911
2025-09-07 0.046597 0.078495 0.138501 0.272520 0.609745 1.595395 5.905571
2025-09-14 0.043110 0.073696 0.132428 0.267250 0.619951 1.711602 6.983394
2025-09-21 0.040750 0.070807 0.129861 0.269684 0.652112 1.917742 8.813200
2025-09-28 0.038113 0.067123 0.125219 0.266395 0.667449 2.074416 10.625874
2025-10-05 0.036469 0.065230 0.124112 0.271604 0.709848 2.359726 13.874673
2025-10-12 0.035038 0.063623 0.123415 0.277744 0.757426 2.699242 18.436841
2025-10-19 0.033680 0.062031 0.122554 0.283318 0.805366 3.077203 24.622182
2025-10-26 0.032565 0.060837 0.122448 0.290961 0.863554 3.554434 34.010096
2025-11-02 0.031198 0.058987 0.120608 0.293412 0.904127 3.977056 45.064737
2025-11-09 0.029833 0.057026 0.118292 0.294105 0.938694 4.400923 59.197546
2025-11-16 0.028425 0.054856 0.115248 0.292132 0.962393 4.784818 76.037230
2025-11-23 0.026984 0.052507 0.111534 0.287523 0.974013 5.105101 94.995060